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Uncertainty & inference
Showing 1–27 of 27 reference entries
Distinguish exact model values, rounded approximations and estimates from measurements. Declare the rounding rule, preserve information through calculations and unit changes, and interpret resolution, precision, accuracy and the stated uncertainty type without turning a report’s digits into guaranteed bounds.
DefinitionPhysics · MeasurementObservables and measurementChoose the physical quantity you want to investigate, specify the point, event or location involved, and explain how a reading relates to that quantity.
MethodMeasurementMetrological traceabilityConnect a result to a reference through documented calibrations.
DefinitionMeasurement · Mathematics & logicFirst-order uncertainty propagationCombine input uncertainty through a measurement model.
MethodMeasurementCalibrationRelate indications to standards, then infer measurement results.
DefinitionMeasurementType A and Type B uncertainty evaluationThe classification describes how a component is evaluated.
MethodMeasurementExpanded uncertainty and coverageA coverage factor scales standard uncertainty to a reported interval.
MethodMeasurement · Mathematics & logicCovariance in uncertainty modelsShared input variation belongs in the joint uncertainty description.
MethodMeasurementMeasurement modelsSpecify how input quantities determine the measurand.
MethodMeasurement · InformationMonte Carlo uncertainty propagationSample the joint input model to approximate the output distribution.
MethodMeasurementOperational uncertainty budgetAn uncertainty budget states the measurement model, input estimates, standard uncertainties, distributions, covariances, sensitivities, evaluation methods and degrees of freedom, together with how they combine and any coverage factor.
MethodMeasurementUncertainty of a replicate meanFor n independent identically distributed observations of a stable quantity with finite variance, the replicate-mean standard uncertainty is estimated by s/√n, where s²=Σ_j(x_j−x̄)²/(n−1).
MethodMeasurementConverting information to standard uncertaintyAn assigned rectangular distribution on estimate±a gives u=a/√3, while a symmetric triangular distribution on the same interval gives u=a/√6.
MethodMeasurementEffective degrees of freedom and approximate coverageFor independent input standard-uncertainty estimates in a linearized model, Welch–Satterthwaite gives ν_eff=u_c⁴/Σ_i[(c_i u_i)⁴/ν_i].
MethodMeasurementReporting a measurement result and coverageA reusable measurement report identifies the measurand, value and unit, relevant conditions and corrections, and whether uncertainty is standard u_c or expanded U.
MethodMeasurementWorked scalar correction and uncertainty budgetAn illustrative temperature model y=x̄+C+δ has x̄=20.00 °C from four independent readings with s=0.20 K, C=+0.50 K with u_C=0.20 K, and independent zero-centered δ uniform on ±0.05 K.
MethodMeasurementVector measurement uncertainty and a two-output exampleFor a differentiable real model Y=f(X), first-order output covariance is Σ_Y≈JΣ_XJᵀ, J_ai=∂f_a/∂x_i at the input estimate; the rule is exact for an affine model with finite input covariance.
MethodMeasurementExact nonlinear uncertainty exampleIn a constructed scalar model Y=X² with X uniformly distributed on [−a,a], a>0, exact distribution propagation gives E(Y)=a²/3 and Var(Y)=4a⁴/45, hence u(Y)=2a²/√45.
MethodMeasurementCalibrated first-order dynamic measurementFor a validated linear first-order sensor model τẏ+y=Kx with τ>0, a step to x_f gives y(t)=Kx_f+[y(0)−Kx_f]e^(−t/τ).
ModelMeasurementNonlinear correlated output propagationFor a vector measurand Y=f(X), propagating a joint input distribution retains output dependence and non-Gaussian shape.
Mathematical statementMeasurementJoint Gaussian coverage and estimated covarianceFor a nonsingular m-variate Gaussian assigned distribution with mean y and known covariance U, (Y−y)ᵀU⁻¹(Y−y)≤χ²_(m,p) gives probability p.
MethodMeasurementMultivariate Monte Carlo and region validationMonte Carlo draws from the joint input model and evaluates all outputs from each common draw.
MethodMeasurementDefinitional uncertaintyMore repetitions do not resolve an underspecified measurand.
DefinitionMeasurementRelative standard uncertaintyRelative uncertainty uses a nonzero measured magnitude.
DefinitionMeasurementBlank indications and null measurement uncertaintyA zero or blank reading can still have uncertainty.
DefinitionMeasurementTarget measurement uncertaintyAn intended-use target differs from achieved uncertainty.
DefinitionMeasurementRounding a result with its uncertaintyReport useful digits without treating extra digits as proof of accuracy.
Method