What this chapter will buildDistinguish a prediction, conditional projection, scenario and preferred future according to its purpose.
Start here — no earlier chapter is needed.
Why examine more than one futurePlanned
Compare choices under two plausible conditions rather than assuming one outcome.
Forecasts and conditional projectionsPlanned
Identify whether a claim estimates an outcome or follows specified assumptions.
Scenarios and narrativesPlanned
Distinguish a scenario used for comparison from a prediction or fictional promise.
Possible, plausible and preferredPlanned
Separate physical possibility, contextual plausibility and desired outcomes.
A first futures questionPlanned
State the issue, decision, time horizon and who will use the result.